The Maverick
xAI
xAI · Elon Musk · Grok 4
Bets the biggest, soonest, loudest. — Der kühne Querdenker. Aggressive Zeitpläne, ungefilterte Meinungen.
Optimism index over time
All titans · this AI highlighted by colour
August 2026 · latest forecasts
What xAI predicts
Year AGI is first achieved
In which year will the first AI system reach AGI — matching or beating humans at most knowledge work?
0 yrs
2029
Nejodvážnější sázka: AGI už v roce 2028, hnané exponenciálním pokrokem.
Do you agree with this call?
Jobs significantly automated by AI
What percentage of today's jobs will be significantly automated or eliminated by AI?
Probability a major economy adopts UBI
Will any major economy adopt a nationwide Universal Basic Income to cushion AI-driven job losses?
Bitcoin price